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Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

«Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling»

Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Les mer

160,-
Paperback
Sendes innen 7 virkedager
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

"Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide...I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person." (Will Self, Independent on Sunday). "He leaps like some superhero of the mind." (Boyd Tonkin, Independent). "Funny, quirky and thought-provoking...confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot." (John Cornwell, Sunday Times).

"Idiosyncratically brilliant." (Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph). "Great fun...brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling. " (Stephen J.

Detaljer

Forlag
Penguin Books Ltd
Innbinding
Paperback
Språk
Engelsk
Sider
480
ISBN
9780141034591
Utgivelsesår
2008
Format
20 x 13 cm

Anmeldelser

«Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling»

Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics

«The most prophetic voice of all»

GQ

«A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected»

Guardian

«Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling»

Financial Times

«It has altered modern thinking»

The Times

«Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot»

Sunday Times

«The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works»

Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow

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