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Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

«A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected»

Guardian

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Les mer

189,-
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

"Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide...I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person." (Will Self, Independent on Sunday). "He leaps like some superhero of the mind." (Boyd Tonkin, Independent). "Funny, quirky and thought-provoking...confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot." (John Cornwell, Sunday Times).

"Idiosyncratically brilliant." (Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph). "Great fun...brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling. " (Stephen J.

Detaljer

Forlag
Penguin Books Ltd
Innbinding
Paperback
Språk
Engelsk
Sider
480
ISBN
9780141034591
Utgivelsesår
2008
Format
20 x 13 cm

Om forfatteren

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.

Anmeldelser

«A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected»

Guardian

«Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling»

Financial Times

«It has altered modern thinking»

The Times

«Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot»

Sunday Times

«The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works»

Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow

«Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling»

Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics

«The most prophetic voice of all»

GQ

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